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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College0.41+0.68vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.11+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-1.10+0.15vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.80-1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-3.35+0.44vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.54-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.68Hillsdale College0.410.6%1st Place
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3.17Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
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3.15University of Illinois-1.100.1%1st Place
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2.81Northwestern University-0.800.2%1st Place
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5.44University of Iowa-3.350.0%1st Place
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4.75Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 55.0% | 27.6% | 12.2% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Etain McKinney | 11.7% | 22.1% | 23.8% | 25.3% | 14.4% | 2.7% |
| Molly Sheridan | 12.4% | 20.3% | 23.9% | 28.9% | 12.6% | 1.9% |
| Anna Kovacs | 17.4% | 23.4% | 29.0% | 21.7% | 7.6% | 0.9% |
| Michael Gartlan | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 19.2% | 67.7% |
| John Riordan | 2.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 45.4% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.