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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University0.38+2.57vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.88+0.98vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.55+0.29vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.04+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.17-0.44vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.48-1.07vs Predicted
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7Miami University-0.19-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Miami University0.3817.5%1st Place
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2.98University of Saint Thomas0.8824.6%1st Place
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3.29Northwestern University0.5520.2%1st Place
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4.08University of Chicago0.0412.0%1st Place
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4.56University of Michigan-0.178.8%1st Place
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4.93Northwestern University-0.487.3%1st Place
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4.58Miami University-0.199.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Barillari | 17.5% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 6.9% |
| Greg Bittle | 24.6% | 21.7% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Marina Hutzler | 20.2% | 18.6% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 4.4% |
| Carlos Sole | 12.0% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 12.9% |
| John McCalmont | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 18.9% | 20.2% |
| Aviva Kaplan | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 30.1% |
| Jenna Drobny | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.