← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hillsdale College0.41+0.67vs Predicted
-
2Marquette University-1.11+1.14vs Predicted
-
3University of Illinois-1.10+0.14vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University-0.80-1.21vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University-2.54-0.20vs Predicted
-
6University of Iowa-3.35-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.67Hillsdale College0.410.6%1st Place
-
3.14Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
-
3.14University of Illinois-1.100.1%1st Place
-
2.79Northwestern University-0.800.2%1st Place
-
4.8Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
-
5.45University of Iowa-3.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 55.1% | 27.9% | 12.2% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Etain McKinney | 11.7% | 21.7% | 25.1% | 26.0% | 13.1% | 2.4% |
| Molly Sheridan | 12.7% | 19.9% | 24.2% | 28.9% | 12.7% | 1.6% |
| Anna Kovacs | 17.7% | 23.8% | 28.6% | 22.1% | 6.8% | 1.0% |
| John Riordan | 2.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 12.9% | 43.9% | 29.6% |
| Michael Gartlan | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 23.0% | 65.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.