← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hillsdale College0.41+0.64vs Predicted
-
2University of Iowa-3.35+3.40vs Predicted
-
3Northwestern University-0.80-0.19vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University-1.11-0.83vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University-2.54-0.19vs Predicted
-
6University of Illinois-1.10-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.64Hillsdale College0.410.6%1st Place
-
5.4University of Iowa-3.350.0%1st Place
-
2.81Northwestern University-0.800.2%1st Place
-
3.17Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
-
4.81Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
-
3.17University of Illinois-1.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 56.5% | 27.7% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gartlan | 0.7% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 22.2% | 64.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 17.1% | 25.6% | 27.2% | 21.2% | 7.5% | 1.4% |
| Etain McKinney | 11.5% | 20.1% | 24.8% | 28.4% | 13.7% | 1.5% |
| John Riordan | 1.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 12.9% | 42.8% | 30.5% |
| Molly Sheridan | 12.5% | 19.1% | 26.0% | 26.7% | 13.2% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.