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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.80+1.83vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College0.41-0.33vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.11+0.13vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-1.10-0.85vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-2.54-0.22vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-3.35-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Northwestern University-0.800.2%1st Place
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1.67Hillsdale College0.410.6%1st Place
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3.13Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
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3.15University of Illinois-1.100.1%1st Place
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4.78Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
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5.44University of Iowa-3.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Kovacs | 17.5% | 25.0% | 27.0% | 20.4% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Arden Carleton | 56.4% | 26.5% | 11.9% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Etain McKinney | 12.6% | 20.8% | 23.1% | 29.4% | 12.2% | 1.9% |
| Molly Sheridan | 10.7% | 21.2% | 26.1% | 27.9% | 12.5% | 1.6% |
| John Riordan | 1.8% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 43.9% | 29.0% |
| Michael Gartlan | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 22.6% | 65.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.