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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College0.41+0.67vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.80+0.78vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.11+0.15vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-1.10-0.85vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-2.54-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-3.35-0.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67Hillsdale College0.410.6%1st Place
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2.78Northwestern University-0.800.2%1st Place
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3.15Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
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3.15University of Illinois-1.100.1%1st Place
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4.79Marquette University-2.540.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Iowa-3.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 56.2% | 26.1% | 13.2% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Anna Kovacs | 16.2% | 28.0% | 27.5% | 19.0% | 8.2% | 1.1% |
| Etain McKinney | 12.7% | 19.6% | 23.8% | 29.5% | 12.6% | 1.8% |
| Molly Sheridan | 12.2% | 19.3% | 25.3% | 29.0% | 12.4% | 1.8% |
| John Riordan | 2.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 44.4% | 29.2% |
| Michael Gartlan | 0.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 21.9% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.