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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College0.41+0.75vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-1.10+1.17vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.11+0.16vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.34-1.62vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-3.36+0.25vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-3.35-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Hillsdale College0.410.5%1st Place
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3.17University of Illinois-1.100.1%1st Place
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3.16Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
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2.38Northwestern University-0.340.2%1st Place
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5.25Marquette University-3.360.0%1st Place
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5.3University of Iowa-3.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 51.5% | 28.4% | 14.7% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sheridan | 10.8% | 19.4% | 25.9% | 31.7% | 10.7% | 1.5% |
| Etain McKinney | 11.9% | 16.9% | 26.2% | 34.4% | 9.5% | 1.1% |
| Cole Abbott | 24.6% | 31.4% | 27.3% | 14.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Zach Sonkin | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 39.3% | 47.6% |
| Michael Gartlan | 0.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 38.0% | 49.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.