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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College0.41+0.74vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.34+0.37vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-1.10+0.17vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.11-0.82vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-3.35+0.24vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-3.36-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Hillsdale College0.410.5%1st Place
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2.37Northwestern University-0.340.3%1st Place
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3.17University of Illinois-1.100.1%1st Place
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3.18Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Iowa-3.350.0%1st Place
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5.3Marquette University-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 51.0% | 29.6% | 14.8% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cole Abbott | 25.9% | 31.1% | 26.3% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Molly Sheridan | 11.5% | 17.4% | 25.2% | 36.0% | 8.7% | 1.2% |
| Etain McKinney | 10.3% | 17.9% | 27.4% | 33.4% | 10.2% | 0.8% |
| Michael Gartlan | 0.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 40.1% | 47.4% |
| Zach Sonkin | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 7.4% | 37.4% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.