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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College0.41+0.71vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.34+0.34vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.11+0.11vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-3.36+1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-1.10-1.80vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-4.12-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71Hillsdale College0.410.5%1st Place
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2.34Northwestern University-0.340.3%1st Place
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3.11Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
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5.06Marquette University-3.360.0%1st Place
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3.2University of Illinois-1.100.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Iowa-4.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 51.6% | 30.4% | 13.9% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cole Abbott | 26.3% | 32.3% | 24.7% | 14.3% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Etain McKinney | 11.3% | 16.6% | 30.4% | 33.7% | 7.6% | 0.4% |
| Zach Sonkin | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 55.4% | 30.1% |
| Molly Sheridan | 9.6% | 18.4% | 25.8% | 36.4% | 8.5% | 1.3% |
| Mathew Boemmel | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 3.9% | 25.5% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.