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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College0.41+0.74vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.11+1.13vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-1.10+0.10vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-0.34-1.63vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-3.36+0.09vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-4.12-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Hillsdale College0.410.5%1st Place
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3.13Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
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3.1University of Illinois-1.100.1%1st Place
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2.37Northwestern University-0.340.2%1st Place
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5.09Marquette University-3.360.0%1st Place
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5.57University of Iowa-4.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 51.6% | 28.3% | 15.1% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Etain McKinney | 10.8% | 19.4% | 25.7% | 34.5% | 8.8% | 0.8% |
| Molly Sheridan | 12.0% | 17.6% | 27.3% | 35.3% | 7.2% | 0.6% |
| Cole Abbott | 24.6% | 31.5% | 28.0% | 14.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Zach Sonkin | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 7.8% | 54.1% | 32.2% |
| Mathew Boemmel | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 28.3% | 66.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.