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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.34+1.38vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College0.41-0.31vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.11+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-1.10-0.87vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-3.36-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Northwestern University-0.340.2%1st Place
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1.69Hillsdale College0.410.5%1st Place
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3.06Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
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3.13University of Illinois-1.100.1%1st Place
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4.75Marquette University-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Abbott | 24.6% | 33.0% | 25.1% | 14.7% | 2.6% |
| Arden Carleton | 53.4% | 29.3% | 13.1% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Etain McKinney | 11.5% | 18.2% | 28.7% | 36.2% | 5.4% |
| Molly Sheridan | 9.6% | 17.8% | 29.4% | 36.2% | 7.0% |
| Zach Sonkin | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 9.1% | 84.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.