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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.48+3.43vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.55+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.88-0.34vs Predicted
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4Miami University0.38-0.79vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.04-1.35vs Predicted
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6Miami University-0.19-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Northwestern University-0.487.0%1st Place
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3.01Northwestern University0.5521.3%1st Place
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2.66University of Saint Thomas0.8827.6%1st Place
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3.21Miami University0.3819.8%1st Place
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3.65University of Chicago0.0414.3%1st Place
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4.05Miami University-0.1910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aviva Kaplan | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 21.7% | 36.1% |
| Marina Hutzler | 21.3% | 22.4% | 19.2% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 7.5% |
| Greg Bittle | 27.6% | 24.4% | 19.6% | 15.3% | 9.4% | 3.6% |
| Nicholas Barillari | 19.8% | 18.1% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 9.8% |
| Carlos Sole | 14.3% | 14.1% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 16.7% |
| Jenna Drobny | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 20.8% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.