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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.68+4.21vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.93+5.44vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.02+4.38vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+1.18vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.50+1.02vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+0.53vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.45-1.24vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.29-1.55vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.81-0.87vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.18-3.06vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.74-2.68vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.56-3.21vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-3.15vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University0.55-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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5.18Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.02Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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5.76Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.45Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.13Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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9.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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13.01Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maggie Shea | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.1% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Catherine Swanson | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 2.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 2.9% |
| Katherine Doble | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 5.3% |
| Jamie Curran | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 22.6% | 9.8% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 72.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.