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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College0.41+0.72vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.34+0.36vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-1.10+0.15vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-3.36+1.26vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.11-1.73vs Predicted
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6Cleveland State University-3.32-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Hillsdale College0.410.5%1st Place
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2.36Northwestern University-0.340.3%1st Place
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3.15University of Illinois-1.100.1%1st Place
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5.26Marquette University-3.360.0%1st Place
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3.27Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
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5.24Cleveland State University-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arden Carleton | 51.5% | 30.4% | 13.4% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cole Abbott | 26.2% | 31.8% | 24.5% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Molly Sheridan | 11.2% | 16.6% | 29.7% | 32.1% | 9.4% | 1.0% |
| Zach Sonkin | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 36.8% | 49.3% |
| Etain McKinney | 9.6% | 17.6% | 25.0% | 34.3% | 11.2% | 2.3% |
| Zak Hamil | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 39.1% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.