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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College-1.68+1.82vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.79-0.13vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-2.33+0.61vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-2.29-0.43vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-4.18+0.55vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-2.29-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Hillsdale College-1.680.2%1st Place
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1.87Marquette University-0.790.5%1st Place
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3.61University of Illinois-2.330.1%1st Place
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3.57Northwestern University-2.290.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
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3.58Marquette University-2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Scanlon | 20.3% | 25.6% | 22.4% | 18.1% | 11.0% | 2.6% |
| Eli Erling | 49.0% | 26.7% | 15.1% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Bahda Hoang | 10.5% | 14.6% | 18.1% | 23.9% | 26.2% | 6.7% |
| Peter Spoerri | 9.2% | 15.5% | 20.7% | 23.5% | 25.6% | 5.5% |
| Maggie Lennon | 0.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 10.3% | 78.0% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 10.3% | 15.1% | 19.5% | 23.2% | 24.9% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.