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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.79+0.87vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-2.29+1.52vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College-1.68-0.20vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-2.29-0.45vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-2.33-1.28vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-4.18-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Marquette University-0.790.5%1st Place
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3.52Marquette University-2.290.1%1st Place
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2.8Hillsdale College-1.680.2%1st Place
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3.55Northwestern University-2.290.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Illinois-2.330.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 48.6% | 28.2% | 13.7% | 7.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 10.4% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 22.5% | 24.1% | 6.4% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 19.3% | 25.7% | 24.6% | 18.4% | 10.5% | 1.5% |
| Peter Spoerri | 11.1% | 14.1% | 20.5% | 22.5% | 26.4% | 5.4% |
| Bahda Hoang | 9.3% | 12.8% | 19.2% | 23.5% | 25.5% | 9.7% |
| Maggie Lennon | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 11.6% | 76.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.