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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.79+0.78vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-2.29+1.30vs Predicted
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3Hillsdale College-1.68-0.35vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-2.84-0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-2.33-1.52vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-5.43-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78Marquette University-0.790.5%1st Place
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3.3Marquette University-2.290.1%1st Place
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2.65Hillsdale College-1.680.2%1st Place
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3.95Northwestern University-2.840.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Illinois-2.330.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Iowa-5.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 51.0% | 28.7% | 13.5% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 11.8% | 17.4% | 23.1% | 26.2% | 20.0% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 20.2% | 29.3% | 23.9% | 19.0% | 7.3% | 0.3% |
| Annabel Edwards | 7.0% | 8.5% | 16.3% | 22.4% | 42.4% | 3.4% |
| Bahda Hoang | 9.6% | 15.4% | 22.4% | 25.2% | 24.7% | 2.7% |
| Zachary Warren | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 91.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.