← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Marquette University-0.79+0.87vs Predicted
-
2University of Illinois-2.33+1.57vs Predicted
-
3Hillsdale College-1.68-0.21vs Predicted
-
4Northwestern University-2.29-0.44vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University-2.29-1.32vs Predicted
-
6University of Iowa-4.18-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.87Marquette University-0.790.5%1st Place
-
3.57University of Illinois-2.330.1%1st Place
-
2.79Hillsdale College-1.680.2%1st Place
-
3.56Northwestern University-2.290.1%1st Place
-
3.68Marquette University-2.290.1%1st Place
-
5.54University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 48.4% | 28.6% | 13.3% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Bahda Hoang | 10.1% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 21.7% | 25.0% | 7.1% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 19.5% | 25.8% | 24.3% | 18.8% | 10.1% | 1.5% |
| Peter Spoerri | 11.0% | 14.2% | 20.2% | 22.6% | 26.5% | 5.5% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 9.7% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 23.7% | 24.4% | 9.3% |
| Maggie Lennon | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 76.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.