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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois-2.33+2.63vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.79-0.14vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-2.29+0.52vs Predicted
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4Hillsdale College-1.68-1.21vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-2.29-1.34vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-4.18-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63University of Illinois-2.330.1%1st Place
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1.86Marquette University-0.790.5%1st Place
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3.52Northwestern University-2.290.1%1st Place
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2.79Hillsdale College-1.680.2%1st Place
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3.66Marquette University-2.290.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahda Hoang | 10.3% | 13.7% | 20.4% | 21.1% | 27.2% | 7.3% |
| Eli Erling | 48.1% | 29.6% | 13.2% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Peter Spoerri | 11.5% | 15.4% | 19.2% | 23.5% | 24.6% | 5.8% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 18.7% | 26.9% | 23.7% | 19.4% | 9.5% | 1.8% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 9.9% | 13.2% | 19.8% | 24.1% | 23.9% | 9.1% |
| Maggie Lennon | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 12.6% | 75.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.