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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.79+0.79vs Predicted
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2Hillsdale College-1.68+0.63vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-2.29+0.33vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-2.33-0.62vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-2.84-0.97vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-5.43-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79Marquette University-0.790.5%1st Place
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2.63Hillsdale College-1.680.2%1st Place
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3.33Marquette University-2.290.1%1st Place
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3.38University of Illinois-2.330.1%1st Place
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4.03Northwestern University-2.840.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Iowa-5.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 50.4% | 29.0% | 13.4% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 21.8% | 27.5% | 25.6% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 0.7% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 11.6% | 17.0% | 22.1% | 26.9% | 21.1% | 1.3% |
| Bahda Hoang | 10.5% | 16.0% | 23.1% | 27.1% | 22.0% | 1.3% |
| Annabel Edwards | 5.3% | 9.9% | 15.0% | 21.8% | 42.0% | 6.0% |
| Zachary Warren | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 6.2% | 90.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.