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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.79+0.77vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-2.84+1.94vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-2.29+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-2.33-0.63vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College-1.68-2.28vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-5.43-0.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77Marquette University-0.790.5%1st Place
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3.94Northwestern University-2.840.1%1st Place
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3.35Marquette University-2.290.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Illinois-2.330.1%1st Place
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2.72Hillsdale College-1.680.2%1st Place
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5.85University of Iowa-5.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 52.1% | 27.6% | 13.0% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Annabel Edwards | 5.7% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 20.7% | 41.2% | 4.2% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 11.0% | 16.8% | 23.4% | 25.5% | 22.1% | 1.2% |
| Bahda Hoang | 11.5% | 15.4% | 21.8% | 28.6% | 21.0% | 1.7% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 19.3% | 29.3% | 23.0% | 17.3% | 10.2% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Warren | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 91.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.