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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College-1.68+1.51vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.79-0.34vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-2.29+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-2.33-0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-4.18-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Hillsdale College-1.680.2%1st Place
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1.66Marquette University-0.790.5%1st Place
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3.05Marquette University-2.290.1%1st Place
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3.16University of Illinois-2.330.1%1st Place
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4.61University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Scanlon | 22.3% | 29.8% | 26.1% | 17.7% | 4.1% |
| Eli Erling | 54.6% | 28.4% | 13.2% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 12.3% | 18.6% | 28.4% | 33.5% | 7.2% |
| Bahda Hoang | 9.4% | 19.2% | 26.5% | 35.6% | 9.3% |
| Maggie Lennon | 1.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 79.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.