← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Miami University0.95+0.76vs Predicted
-
2University of Chicago-0.08+0.88vs Predicted
-
3Miami University-2.09+2.47vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan-1.14+0.17vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University-0.20-2.00vs Predicted
-
6Northwestern University-1.85-0.85vs Predicted
-
7University of Saint Thomas-2.16-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.76Miami University0.9552.4%1st Place
-
2.88University of Chicago-0.0817.5%1st Place
-
5.47Miami University-2.092.8%1st Place
-
4.17University of Michigan-1.146.6%1st Place
-
3.0Northwestern University-0.2015.9%1st Place
-
5.15Northwestern University-1.852.8%1st Place
-
5.57University of Saint Thomas-2.162.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Porter | 52.4% | 27.9% | 13.0% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Holden Higgins | 17.5% | 25.5% | 25.9% | 17.9% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Sara Stortstrom | 2.8% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 18.6% | 26.3% | 32.2% |
| River Servia | 6.6% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 23.1% | 22.0% | 15.7% | 6.9% |
| Owen Lubben | 15.9% | 23.9% | 25.5% | 19.6% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Sean Bascoe | 2.8% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 21.6% | 24.6% | 23.8% |
| Brady Boland | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 26.1% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.