← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Marquette University-0.79+0.68vs Predicted
-
2Hillsdale College-1.68+0.47vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University-2.29+0.08vs Predicted
-
4University of Illinois-2.33-0.86vs Predicted
-
5University of Iowa-4.18-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.68Marquette University-0.790.5%1st Place
-
2.47Hillsdale College-1.680.2%1st Place
-
3.08Marquette University-2.290.1%1st Place
-
3.14University of Illinois-2.330.1%1st Place
-
4.63University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 54.2% | 28.2% | 13.4% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Scanlon | 22.2% | 31.1% | 26.4% | 17.7% | 2.6% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 12.1% | 18.0% | 27.4% | 35.2% | 7.3% |
| Bahda Hoang | 10.0% | 19.7% | 26.7% | 33.6% | 10.0% |
| Maggie Lennon | 1.5% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 79.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.