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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hillsdale College-1.68+1.57vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.79-0.28vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-2.29+0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-2.33-0.77vs Predicted
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5Cleveland State University-4.01+0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-4.18-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Hillsdale College-1.680.2%1st Place
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1.72Marquette University-0.790.5%1st Place
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3.18Marquette University-2.290.1%1st Place
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3.23University of Illinois-2.330.1%1st Place
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5.08Cleveland State University-4.010.0%1st Place
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5.21University of Iowa-4.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Scanlon | 21.6% | 30.5% | 24.6% | 16.9% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Eli Erling | 53.3% | 27.6% | 13.8% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Usman Waheeduddin | 12.4% | 18.3% | 24.4% | 30.5% | 12.2% | 2.2% |
| Bahda Hoang | 10.0% | 18.2% | 27.3% | 29.4% | 13.0% | 2.1% |
| Katherine Mlachak | 1.4% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 36.9% | 43.4% |
| Maggie Lennon | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 9.5% | 31.7% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.