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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College0.72+1.37vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.26+1.74vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College0.53-0.41vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.37+1.48vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.52-0.81vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.27-0.70vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-0.74-2.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Dartmouth College0.720.3%1st Place
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3.74Middlebury College-0.260.1%1st Place
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2.59Dartmouth College0.530.3%1st Place
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5.48Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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4.19Middlebury College-0.520.1%1st Place
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5.3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.270.1%1st Place
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4.32Amherst College-0.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Vogel | 34.6% | 27.2% | 17.8% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Penelope Weekes | 11.3% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 20.0% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 5.7% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 27.7% | 26.3% | 20.6% | 14.3% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| William Procter | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 23.7% | 37.4% |
| Grace Augspurger | 8.3% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 19.5% | 17.3% | 9.7% |
| Andy Giaya | 5.0% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 23.0% | 33.5% |
| James Knowlton | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 21.0% | 19.2% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.