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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-1.44+3.41vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.43+0.37vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.80+1.80vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.29-2.41vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-1.81vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-1.61-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Middlebury College-1.440.0%1st Place
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2.37Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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4.8Middlebury College-1.800.0%1st Place
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1.59Dartmouth College1.290.6%1st Place
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3.19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.64Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Joseph | 3.9% | 5.7% | 13.3% | 25.0% | 27.1% | 25.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 24.1% | 36.1% | 22.8% | 12.9% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 2.5% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 16.7% | 27.8% | 39.1% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 56.2% | 31.4% | 10.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kate Myler | 11.3% | 17.2% | 32.5% | 23.0% | 11.7% | 4.3% |
| Adrian Whitney | 2.0% | 4.8% | 12.1% | 20.7% | 29.1% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.