Race 5B

reed-women-new-england-ch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jennifer Proctor 8.0% 9.4% 10.4% 8.8% 10.0% 8.5% 7.4% 8.4% 7.3% 5.8% 6.8% 4.9% 3.2% 1.1%
Catherine Swanson 9.4% 9.2% 8.3% 8.4% 9.2% 8.8% 7.6% 8.8% 8.5% 8.0% 6.4% 4.1% 2.8% 0.5%
Kelsey Wheeler 8.1% 7.9% 8.8% 6.6% 7.6% 7.8% 8.1% 9.1% 7.7% 8.7% 7.4% 7.7% 3.8% 0.7%
Emily Dellenbaugh 8.8% 10.2% 10.1% 8.9% 9.7% 8.6% 8.6% 7.5% 7.4% 7.3% 6.1% 4.1% 2.1% 0.6%
Kimberly Kaull 4.9% 5.4% 6.6% 6.1% 7.4% 7.3% 8.7% 7.1% 8.8% 8.7% 9.8% 9.4% 7.6% 2.2%
Morgan Russom 5.0% 4.5% 5.0% 6.6% 5.7% 7.5% 6.1% 9.1% 8.2% 8.4% 10.1% 10.8% 10.2% 2.8%
Maggie Shea 14.4% 12.7% 11.8% 10.6% 9.7% 7.7% 8.9% 7.1% 6.4% 4.1% 3.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Chanel Miller 6.8% 7.0% 7.3% 7.5% 6.4% 7.1% 7.3% 8.1% 8.8% 7.5% 8.3% 8.1% 8.2% 1.6%
Emily Maxwell 9.7% 9.3% 8.9% 10.9% 9.2% 9.1% 9.1% 9.1% 7.0% 5.7% 4.8% 4.6% 2.4% 0.2%
Jamie Curran 2.8% 2.3% 2.2% 3.7% 2.5% 4.4% 5.4% 4.3% 7.4% 8.8% 8.9% 13.7% 22.4% 11.2%
Elizabeth Glivinski 4.5% 4.8% 4.5% 5.3% 6.5% 7.4% 6.2% 6.8% 7.6% 10.2% 11.4% 11.2% 11.2% 2.4%
Katherine Doble 3.7% 4.2% 3.4% 5.2% 5.4% 6.1% 6.3% 7.3% 7.6% 9.9% 10.4% 12.1% 13.2% 5.2%
Marlena Fauer 13.3% 12.6% 12.4% 10.7% 10.1% 9.1% 8.8% 5.9% 5.7% 4.9% 3.0% 2.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Meghan Breslin-Jewer 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 3.4% 4.8% 11.0% 71.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.