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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-1.14+3.16vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.08+0.97vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.20-0.05vs Predicted
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4Miami University0.95-2.28vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.85+0.15vs Predicted
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6Miami University-2.09-0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas-2.16-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16University of Michigan-1.147.0%1st Place
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2.97University of Chicago-0.0817.0%1st Place
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2.95Northwestern University-0.2016.0%1st Place
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1.72Miami University0.9552.3%1st Place
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5.15Northwestern University-1.852.9%1st Place
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5.47Miami University-2.092.2%1st Place
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5.58University of Saint Thomas-2.162.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| River Servia | 7.0% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 24.1% | 23.5% | 14.8% | 6.2% |
| Holden Higgins | 17.0% | 22.8% | 25.8% | 19.2% | 11.6% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Owen Lubben | 16.0% | 24.4% | 27.9% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Reed Porter | 52.3% | 29.9% | 12.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Bascoe | 2.9% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 20.2% | 26.2% | 22.9% |
| Sara Stortstrom | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 17.8% | 26.6% | 32.8% |
| Brady Boland | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 25.3% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.