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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.29+0.62vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.43+0.34vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+0.09vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.44+0.42vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.80-0.14vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-1.61-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62Dartmouth College1.290.6%1st Place
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2.34Middlebury College0.430.3%1st Place
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3.09University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.42Middlebury College-1.440.0%1st Place
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4.86Middlebury College-1.800.0%1st Place
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4.66Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Koelbel | 56.2% | 29.6% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 25.6% | 34.8% | 24.2% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Kate Myler | 11.2% | 19.4% | 33.3% | 23.3% | 10.7% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 2.7% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 24.0% | 29.1% | 24.3% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 1.7% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 17.2% | 27.3% | 40.9% |
| Adrian Whitney | 2.6% | 3.9% | 11.1% | 21.3% | 29.2% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.