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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+2.13vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.29-0.39vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.43-0.67vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.80+0.78vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.44-0.50vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-1.61-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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1.61Dartmouth College1.290.6%1st Place
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2.33Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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4.78Middlebury College-1.800.0%1st Place
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4.5Middlebury College-1.440.0%1st Place
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4.66Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Myler | 10.8% | 19.6% | 32.9% | 22.5% | 11.1% | 3.1% |
| Madeline Koelbel | 57.9% | 27.1% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 24.3% | 37.0% | 24.6% | 10.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 2.2% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 17.2% | 29.6% | 37.0% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 2.7% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 24.2% | 28.9% | 26.5% |
| Adrian Whitney | 2.1% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 22.1% | 27.6% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.