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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.29+0.62vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+1.10vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.43-0.65vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-1.61+0.60vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.44-0.50vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.80-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62Dartmouth College1.290.6%1st Place
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3.1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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2.35Middlebury College0.430.2%1st Place
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4.6Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
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4.5Middlebury College-1.440.0%1st Place
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4.83Middlebury College-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Koelbel | 57.2% | 27.6% | 11.2% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kate Myler | 12.4% | 19.6% | 31.5% | 21.5% | 11.7% | 3.3% |
| Walter Chiles | 23.4% | 35.6% | 27.6% | 10.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Adrian Whitney | 2.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 22.0% | 30.7% | 29.3% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 2.3% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 23.6% | 28.9% | 26.8% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 2.0% | 4.0% | 9.2% | 18.9% | 26.0% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.