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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.29+0.62vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.43+0.32vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30+0.09vs Predicted
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4Amherst College-1.61+0.59vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.44-0.48vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.80-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62Dartmouth College1.290.6%1st Place
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2.32Middlebury College0.430.3%1st Place
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3.09University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.59Amherst College-1.610.0%1st Place
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4.52Middlebury College-1.440.0%1st Place
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4.85Middlebury College-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madeline Koelbel | 56.4% | 29.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Walter Chiles | 25.6% | 34.5% | 26.0% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Kate Myler | 11.2% | 19.2% | 34.1% | 22.8% | 10.5% | 2.2% |
| Adrian Whitney | 2.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 22.3% | 29.8% | 29.6% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 2.4% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 23.7% | 29.3% | 27.3% |
| Olivia Fulghum | 1.9% | 3.8% | 9.4% | 17.9% | 26.7% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.