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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+6.34vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+4.91vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+2.97vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.74vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.46+4.67vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.11+5.17vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.54-1.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.62+1.01vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.53+0.46vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.74+2.72vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.81-2.49vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-2.51vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.30-2.74vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.77+1.24vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.49vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.12-4.79vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.57-7.61vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.42-12.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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5.97Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.67Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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5.56Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.01Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.46Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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12.72Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.51Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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10.26Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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15.24Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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14.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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11.21Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.39Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.84Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Walter Henry | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.6% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 10.3% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 40.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 19.4% | 27.7% |
| Will Priebe | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.