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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+5.02vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.62+7.34vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.54+2.75vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.12+3.07vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.53+4.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.21vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.46+2.79vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.57+1.19vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.17vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.77+5.53vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.81-2.53vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.11-0.53vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.12-2.07vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.23-7.53vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.42-9.03vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.30-5.48vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.74-4.33vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.34Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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5.75Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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7.07Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.39Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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9.79Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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9.19Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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15.53Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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8.47Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.47University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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10.93Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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6.47University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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5.97Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.52Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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12.67Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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14.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Walter Henry | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 16.6% | 45.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 4.4% |
| Will Priebe | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 9.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 21.5% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.