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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+6.20vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+7.24vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.53+6.51vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+1.89vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.54+0.40vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+2.69vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.30+3.24vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.74+4.25vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.46+0.49vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.11+1.21vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.47-5.19vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.62-2.76vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.81-4.93vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.09vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.29vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.57-6.79vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.23-10.33vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.37-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.51Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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5.89Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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5.4Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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10.24Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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12.25Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.49Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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5.81Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.24Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.07Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
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14.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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15.29Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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9.21Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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6.67University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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13.49Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 9.0% |
| Walter Henry | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 22.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 18.5% | 39.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.