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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.30+9.60vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.81+6.57vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+4.33vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.57+5.17vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.54+0.58vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.42-0.01vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.74+5.48vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.53+1.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+0.11vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.11+1.40vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.46-1.09vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.12-0.58vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.47-7.28vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+0.29vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.23-8.40vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-7.06vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.62-7.79vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.77-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.6Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.57Bowdoin College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.33Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.17Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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5.58Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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5.99Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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12.48Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.36Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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11.42Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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5.72Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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14.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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6.6University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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8.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.21Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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15.31Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 3.7% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Jack Egan | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 9.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% |
| Walter Henry | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Will Priebe | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 4.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 19.5% | 25.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.