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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.68+3.92vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.48+3.99vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+5.91vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.28+2.84vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.05+2.77vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.13+2.39vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.58+3.04vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.79+0.48vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.40-2.82vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.52+4.73vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.99-2.64vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.30-3.28vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.44-2.72vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.30-3.65vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College0.85-3.71vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.07-4.72vs Predicted
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17Florida State University0.37-3.69vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.26-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Tulane University2.6815.4%1st Place
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5.99Harvard University2.4811.3%1st Place
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8.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.625.7%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Naval Academy2.288.1%1st Place
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7.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.057.1%1st Place
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8.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.135.5%1st Place
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10.04University of Pennsylvania1.583.6%1st Place
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8.48Cornell University1.795.1%1st Place
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6.18Roger Williams University2.4010.1%1st Place
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14.73Connecticut College0.520.8%1st Place
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8.36Brown University1.995.9%1st Place
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8.72Webb Institute1.305.1%1st Place
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10.28George Washington University1.443.5%1st Place
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10.35University of Rhode Island1.303.5%1st Place
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11.29Eckerd College0.852.9%1st Place
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11.28Northeastern University1.073.1%1st Place
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13.31Florida State University0.372.4%1st Place
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15.16University of Michigan-0.261.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Ebbin | 15.4% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Kulas | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Jack Welburn | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| JJ Klempen | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Cole Woodworth | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 20.8% | 28.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Everett Botwinick | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 3.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 14.1% |
| Jack Hammett | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 18.8% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.