Race 6A

robert-p-arrigan-memorial-reg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Gordon Wolcott 10.1% 11.0% 9.4% 10.0% 9.1% 8.5% 7.9% 6.7% 5.5% 6.3% 4.5% 4.5% 3.1% 2.0% 1.1% 0.3%
Alexander Sachs 3.8% 6.0% 5.0% 5.3% 5.5% 6.3% 4.9% 6.6% 6.8% 7.2% 7.7% 7.9% 8.1% 9.6% 5.8% 3.5%
James Allsopp 5.2% 3.7% 5.4% 5.3% 5.0% 5.9% 6.6% 7.2% 7.6% 7.2% 8.8% 9.4% 8.0% 6.7% 4.8% 3.2%
Ian Holtzworth 8.6% 10.2% 7.9% 8.2% 8.0% 10.4% 7.1% 7.7% 7.2% 5.9% 5.5% 5.8% 4.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Sam Padnos 12.0% 12.4% 11.6% 10.0% 9.8% 8.3% 7.5% 8.4% 6.0% 3.8% 4.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Gordon Lamphere 7.2% 5.8% 8.1% 8.1% 9.0% 6.8% 9.5% 8.4% 6.2% 6.3% 6.2% 5.4% 6.0% 3.3% 2.7% 1.0%
Nathaniel Sabatt 9.2% 8.8% 6.4% 7.1% 8.7% 7.9% 8.1% 7.1% 7.7% 6.9% 7.1% 5.3% 4.6% 3.4% 1.4% 0.3%
Amanda Johnson 4.3% 6.1% 5.1% 5.0% 6.2% 5.9% 5.9% 6.3% 8.2% 5.6% 9.8% 7.5% 9.1% 7.8% 4.8% 2.4%
Ainsley Thomson 2.4% 2.2% 2.8% 2.1% 2.2% 3.2% 2.7% 4.3% 4.1% 6.3% 6.4% 7.1% 10.4% 12.7% 14.6% 16.5%
Evan Siepert 5.9% 5.6% 5.4% 7.1% 5.4% 7.1% 6.7% 6.1% 7.2% 11.5% 8.4% 7.7% 6.3% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3%
Chris Kennedy 2.1% 2.2% 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 2.4% 3.0% 3.2% 3.6% 3.3% 4.1% 6.4% 8.1% 11.8% 18.4% 26.1%
Daniel Eichler 8.7% 7.1% 7.2% 9.6% 9.2% 6.6% 7.3% 6.8% 6.8% 8.4% 6.3% 5.1% 4.9% 3.5% 1.9% 0.6%
Hugh McBride 8.1% 8.2% 9.9% 7.8% 8.0% 8.3% 9.0% 8.2% 7.2% 6.6% 5.2% 4.9% 4.2% 2.5% 1.7% 0.2%
Ike Babbitt 8.8% 7.6% 10.7% 8.8% 7.4% 8.1% 8.1% 6.8% 8.6% 5.8% 6.0% 5.4% 3.9% 2.3% 1.6% 0.1%
William Pilling 1.8% 1.7% 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.3% 2.9% 3.8% 4.8% 4.6% 5.6% 8.8% 12.5% 19.3% 24.9%
John O'Riordan 1.8% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 2.8% 2.1% 3.4% 3.3% 3.5% 4.1% 4.9% 8.5% 8.9% 14.0% 17.7% 19.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.