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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Miami University0.95+0.62vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-1.14+1.97vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-0.08-0.31vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas-2.16+1.35vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.38-1.73vs Predicted
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6Miami University-2.09-0.75vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-2.61-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62Miami University0.9557.6%1st Place
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3.97University of Michigan-1.146.6%1st Place
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2.69University of Chicago-0.0818.8%1st Place
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5.35University of Saint Thomas-2.162.0%1st Place
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3.27Northwestern University-0.3811.8%1st Place
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5.25Miami University-2.091.9%1st Place
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5.85Northwestern University-2.611.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reed Porter | 57.6% | 28.1% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| River Servia | 6.6% | 11.9% | 18.2% | 25.2% | 21.6% | 12.3% | 4.0% |
| Holden Higgins | 18.8% | 29.8% | 26.0% | 16.7% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Brady Boland | 2.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 21.7% | 28.1% | 26.0% |
| George Warfel | 11.8% | 19.0% | 26.2% | 23.8% | 12.7% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Sara Stortstrom | 1.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 21.4% | 29.1% | 22.7% |
| Jordan Raizer | 1.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 15.2% | 23.1% | 46.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.