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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+5.74vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.29+4.27vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.68+2.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.45+2.11vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.74+3.35vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.93+1.79vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-2.08vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+1.83vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.81-0.87vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-3.50vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.02-3.55vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.50-6.11vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.56-4.28vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University0.55-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.27Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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5.29Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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6.11Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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8.35Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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7.79University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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4.92Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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8.13Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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5.89Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.72Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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13.01Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Catherine Swanson | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Maggie Shea | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 3.2% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 2.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 14.6% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Jamie Curran | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 23.0% | 10.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 2.3% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.2% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Emily Maxwell | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Doble | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 3.9% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 10.3% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.