← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.30+9.56vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.57+7.51vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.53+6.70vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.47+1.83vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+3.81vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island3.23+0.73vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.42-0.97vs Predicted
-
8Connecticut College2.46+1.65vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.54-3.43vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University1.74+2.73vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.11+0.24vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-2.47vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.37vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.12-3.13vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University2.62-5.98vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College2.81-7.56vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.77-1.56vs Predicted
-
18Yale University3.12-11.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.56Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
-
9.51Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
-
9.7Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
-
5.83Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
8.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
-
6.73University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.03Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
9.65Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
-
5.57Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
-
12.73Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
-
11.24University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
-
9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
-
14.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
-
10.87Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
-
9.02Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
-
8.44Bowdoin College2.810.1%1st Place
-
15.44Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
-
6.96Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.6% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 10.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 19.4% | 27.7% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 17.6% | 43.5% |
| Jack Egan | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.