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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+4.93vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.54+3.57vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.65+6.00vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.11+6.74vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.30+5.09vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+2.88vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.37+6.53vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23-1.48vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.46+0.51vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.53-0.44vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-2.18vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.12-4.68vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.62-4.22vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.74-1.94vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.25vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-1.54vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.42-10.95vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.57-9.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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5.57Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.0Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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10.09Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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13.53Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.51Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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9.56Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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8.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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7.32Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.78Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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12.06Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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15.25Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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14.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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6.05Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.94Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 16.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Jack Egan | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 19.1% | 37.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 17.9% | 27.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.