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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+5.00vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.30+8.54vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.62+6.23vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.53+5.22vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.74+7.21vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.12+1.04vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.54-1.50vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.23-1.36vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.57+0.14vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.65-0.87vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.82-2.61vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-2.71vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.42-7.11vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.11-3.30vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.37-1.39vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-7.23vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-2.45vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.77-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.54Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.22Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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12.21Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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7.04Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.5Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.64University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.14Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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9.13Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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8.39Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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5.89Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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13.61Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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14.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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15.15Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 11.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 8.7% |
| Jack Egan | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 12.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 18.3% | 15.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 19.5% | 27.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.