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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.30+9.57vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+3.94vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.54+2.80vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.12+6.95vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy1.02+9.61vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.65+3.03vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82+1.35vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.16+6.22vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.23-2.30vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+4.63vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63-1.74vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.12-4.51vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.53-3.69vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.11-3.13vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.57-5.74vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.42-9.92vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-7.99vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.62-9.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.57Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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5.94Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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10.95Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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14.61Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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8.35Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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14.22Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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14.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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7.49Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.31Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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10.87University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.26Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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6.08Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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8.92Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Zachary York | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 30.9% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 24.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 21.3% | 27.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Jack Egan | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.