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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.82+7.61vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+4.02vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+4.42vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.65+4.98vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.30+5.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.62+3.22vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42-0.96vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.53+1.52vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+0.14vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.54-4.11vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.23-4.04vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-2.73vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.57-3.80vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.11-3.05vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.12-3.83vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.02-0.99vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-2.24vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.74-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.42Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.98Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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10.38Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.04Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.52Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.0%1st Place
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5.89Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.2Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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10.95University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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11.17Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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15.01Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
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14.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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12.49Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Will Priebe | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 4.6% |
| Zachary York | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 36.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 19.2% | 32.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.