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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.62+8.38vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.10+5.48vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.54+2.87vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.40+2.11vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.65+4.01vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+8.55vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.57+2.39vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.12-0.86vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.82-0.69vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.11+1.40vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-1.57vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.47-5.73vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.23-6.30vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.37-0.48vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-6.14vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.53-6.38vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.74-4.31vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.77-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.38Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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5.87Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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6.11Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.01Bowdoin College2.650.1%1st Place
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14.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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9.39Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.14Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.31Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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11.4University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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6.7University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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13.52Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.62Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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12.69Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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15.27Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 20.6% | 26.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Jack Egan | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 4.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 14.9% | 18.2% | 14.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 9.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.