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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+5.40vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.23+4.97vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.57+6.61vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.10+3.19vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.53+4.47vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.82+2.44vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.12+0.18vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.54-2.32vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.05vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.47-3.83vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.74+1.64vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.62-2.52vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-3.90vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.11-3.09vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.77+0.43vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.65-6.86vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-2.39vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.37-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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6.97University of Rhode Island3.230.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.47Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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8.44Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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7.18Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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5.68Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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12.64Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.48Tufts University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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15.43Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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9.14Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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14.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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13.63Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Egan | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 9.3% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 21.5% | 38.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 19.8% | 27.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.