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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+5.35vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+3.99vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+4.26vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.53+5.38vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.54+0.61vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.74+6.57vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.11+4.15vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.09vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-0.25vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.82-1.41vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.62-1.75vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.12-0.60vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.10-5.93vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.57-5.03vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.44vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.65-6.96vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.10-5.73vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.02-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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5.99Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.26Yale University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.38Boston College2.530.0%1st Place
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5.61Harvard University3.540.1%1st Place
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12.57Salve Regina University1.740.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Vermont2.110.0%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.59Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University2.620.1%1st Place
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11.4Northeastern University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.97Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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14.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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14.71Maine Maritime Academy1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Egan | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.8% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 12.5% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Will Priebe | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 18.7% | 30.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Zachary York | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 18.0% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.