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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.68+4.22vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.29+4.28vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+3.01vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+2.50vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.81+2.18vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.50-1.38vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+1.83vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-0.12vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-3.55vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.74-2.66vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.18-5.09vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.93-5.45vs Predicted
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14Brandeis University0.55-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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6.28Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.01Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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5.21Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.62Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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9.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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6.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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8.34Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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13.02Brandeis University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maggie Shea | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Catherine Swanson | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 12.3% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 3.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Jamie Curran | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 22.7% | 10.8% |
| Katherine Doble | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 4.3% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 3.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Meghan Breslin-Jewer | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 11.4% | 71.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.