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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+4.79vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.49+6.75vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+6.29vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+3.34vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64-0.49vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43+2.73vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38+1.89vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.45+0.58vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.82-1.87vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.07+0.31vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.34-1.78vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.79+2.60vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.44-4.42vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.03-4.03vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.33-9.61vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-0.28vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.62-2.17vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.08-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.75Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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4.51Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.89Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.58Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.31Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Rhode Island2.340.0%1st Place
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14.6Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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8.58Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.97Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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5.39Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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15.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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14.83Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 11.5% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Maks Groom | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 18.5% | 16.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Stokke | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| William Michels | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 22.4% | 20.3% |
| Peter Busch | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Guthrie Braun | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 19.8% | 40.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 24.3% | 23.9% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.