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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.58vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.33+3.45vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+11.86vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.45+4.43vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.64-0.55vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.43+2.64vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.07+2.93vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.29-2.57vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.52+2.96vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.44-1.20vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-1.94vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.38-2.87vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.79+1.09vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.49-5.87vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.82-7.88vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.08-2.53vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.34-7.98vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.45Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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14.86Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.43Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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4.45Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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8.64Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.93Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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5.43Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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11.96Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.8Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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9.13Roger Williams University2.380.0%1st Place
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14.09Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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8.13Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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7.12Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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13.47University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island2.340.0%1st Place
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15.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 25.7% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Justin Callahan | 18.8% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
| Peter Busch | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Maks Groom | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Stokke | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 16.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 11.9% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Andy Leshaw | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 20.0% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.