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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.56vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.33+3.50vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+11.89vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.45+4.43vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.82+2.08vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29-0.48vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32+2.02vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.38+0.65vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.64-4.61vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.34-0.76vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.07-0.95vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.44-3.13vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24+2.44vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.52-2.35vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.79-0.75vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.49-7.52vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.43-8.26vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.08-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.5Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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14.89Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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8.43Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.52Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.0%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.39Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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9.24University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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10.05Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.87Boston College2.440.0%1st Place
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15.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
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11.65Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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14.25Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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8.48Bowdoin College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University2.430.1%1st Place
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13.25University of Vermont1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 22.8% | 24.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| William Michels | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 11.6% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maks Groom | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Justin Callahan | 17.5% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Micky Munns | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Peter Busch | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 11.2% | 20.8% | 37.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 4.9% |
| Nalu Ho | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 17.5% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Potter | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.