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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.64+3.64vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.29+3.68vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.82+4.32vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.07+5.93vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.31vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.49+2.47vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38+1.76vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83+2.83vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.43-0.37vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.33-4.40vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.27+1.98vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.62+3.02vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.79+1.13vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.32-5.21vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-4.91vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.45-7.41vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.44-8.27vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.24-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Harvard University3.640.2%1st Place
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5.68Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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7.32Dartmouth College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.93Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.47Bowdoin College2.490.1%1st Place
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8.76Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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8.63Tufts University2.430.0%1st Place
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5.6Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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12.98University of Vermont1.270.0%1st Place
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15.02Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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14.13Maine Maritime Academy0.790.0%1st Place
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8.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.320.1%1st Place
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10.09Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.59Connecticut College2.450.1%1st Place
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8.73Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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15.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Callahan | 15.8% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Stokke | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Riley | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Guthrie Braun | 12.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 8.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 21.9% | 29.1% |
| Nalu Ho | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 17.8% |
| Maks Groom | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| CJ Mckenna | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Peter Busch | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 21.0% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.